Note 1 - states in blue were won by barack obama in 2008 note 2 - states in red were won by john mccain in 2008. A state or county must have at least 10 percent of precincts reporting for a candidate to be considered leading † nebraska and maine award a portion of their electoral votes by congressional. Thanks to george w bush's 271-266 victory over al gore in the electoral college in 2000 despite losing the popular vote, more people understand the significance and unique role the electoral.
2012 campaign electoral college graph august to november full year map all lean states are colored gold regardless of who is slightly ahead, as these are really too close to call. Given the survey data available on election day 2000, the gwpa projected a 272-266 electoral college vote advantage and victory for george w bush collectively, the projected averages identified the winner of the election correctly, and were within one electoral college vote of predicting the electoral college vote distribution correctly. Here's where the race stands, with the states ordered by the projected margin between the candidates — clinton's strongest states are at the top, trump's at the bottom — and sized by the number of electoral votes they will award. 2012 presidential election electoral vote results map and county-by-county popular vote map 12/13/12 - final 2012 electoral vote results: obama 332, romney 206.
Just about every method for evaluating the election based on state polls seems to hint at a very slight lead in the popular vote, as well as an electoral college victory, for president obama. Electoral college prediction map november 7, 2016 the final senate forecast is out and it shows that the democrats will pick up a couple of seats, but that republicans will keep control of the senate. Cnn will broadcast a projected winner only after an extensive review of data from a number of sources party change denotes a race where the 2014 projected winner is from a different party than. The map moves toward donald trump and the states solidly or leaning toward hillary clinton dip below 270 electoral votes, although she still maintains the advantage.
The path to 270 is tougher for trump, who is projected to be able to count on 144 electoral college votes in 18 solidly republican states and 46 in right-leaning states like georgia, alaska, and. Below are the predictions for several outlets for what the electoral college will look like when all the states are called tomorrow night (click on any for the full size) fivethirtyeight - their map is not a prediction as it is what they get when crunch all of the state polls. Final 2016 projection from louis jacobson, who has handicapped the electoral college in 2008, 2012 and 2016, most recently for governing magazine, where he writes a twice-monthly column on state politics.
For a look at the 2012-2020 electoral college map based on the 2010 census click here and for look at how those changes would have affected the 2008 presidential election click here on monday, election data services released the us population estimates for 2008 and a series of projections for 2010. By glynn wilson forget all the hype and mainstream media coverage that has the presidential race in a virtual dead heat with 100 days to go electoral college projections from an aggregation of polling show president barack obama winning re-election in a landslide. The 2016 electoral college map is looking very similar to the map from 2012, but already a few major differences are evident as of monday, four states have flipped from 2012, when president barack obama faced off against republican nominee mitt romney: nevada, iowa, and ohio from blue to red, and. Of course, no two presidential races are alike and trump's electoral college path may be difficult to replicate by a more typical gop politician in 2024 against a less polarizing democratic nominee.
The 2012 united states presidential election in maine took place on november 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 general election in which all 50 states plus the district of columbia participated. Election projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here therefore, i do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown. The projections -- while subject to change any time of any day -- show romney with a likely 206 electoral votes and obama with 201 that leaves another 131 electoral votes up for grabs in the. What's your forecast for the 2012 presidential election make your own electoral map below.
The election forecasting site polly vote also showed a decline in the electoral college victory margin for clinton against trump updated tuesday morning , polly vote's map gave clinton 329 electoral points and trump with 209 electoral points. It's tuesday, november 4th, 2008, election day in america the last polls have straggled in, and show little sign of mercy for john mccain barack obama appears poised for a decisive electoral. 2016 electoral college rcp electoral college map changes in electoral count map with no toss up states rcp election 2012 final rcp average & result.